最近一段时间,因为苏莱曼尼的死,刚刚缓和的中东局势再度走向战争的边缘,而对于苏莱曼尼的死,美国似乎也没准备赖账,它们非常潇洒的承认并对事件负责,美国国务卿蓬佩奥更是直言苏莱曼尼早就该死,这样的言论也让各国大跌眼镜,该言论同时也激怒了伊朗民众,一场大战一触即发。

Recently, because of the death of mr. suleimani, the newly detente situation in the middle east has been on the brink of war again, and for mr. suleimani's death, the u.s. did not seem to be ready to rely on the accounts, they are very smart to admit and responsible for the incident, the u.s. secretary of state pompeo has long been damned, such remarks have also surprised countries, but also angered the iranians, a war is imminent.

就在苏莱曼尼被炸死24小时之后,伊斯梅尔卡尼火线接位,他更是威胁美国将在中东死很多人,虽然美国为此言论做了一些准备,但许多网友和军事专家都认为伊朗也只能打打嘴炮,它们没有撼动美国的实力,但结论当真如此吗?

Just 24 hours after mr sulimani was killed, ishmael kani took the line and threatened to kill many people in the middle east. Although the u.s. has made some preparations for this, many netizens and military experts believe that iran can only beat the gun, and they have not shaken the strength of the u.s., but are the conclusions true?

如果战场是在伊朗国内展开,那伊朗就是防御的一方,虽然两河流域以平原为主,但伊朗毕竟是熟悉这片土地的一方,如果美军陆军一旦进入伊朗境内,伊朗部队化整为零和美军打游击,战局还是大有可为的。

If the battlefield is in iran, then iran is the defensive side, although the two river valleys are dominated by the plain, but iran is after all familiar with the land, if the u. s. army once into iran, iran's forces into pieces and u. s. guerrilla warfare, the situation is promising.

而且两河流域经常会刮沙尘暴,在这种极端天气条件下,美军士兵的战斗力会锐减,而伊朗士兵因为从小生活在这里,他们会更容易适应,即便美军有先进的单兵装备,那也无法全面抵消掉极端天气带来的影响。

And the river basins are often dust-shaven, with american soldiers becoming less effective in such extreme weather conditions, and iranian soldiers who have lived here since childhood will be more adaptable, and even if the u. s.has advanced individual equipment, it won't fully offset the effects of extreme weather.

和伊拉克不同,伊朗没有经历过大战的消耗,加之俄罗斯在背后支持,伊朗的武器装备并不是完全威胁不到美军。比如伊朗的S300防空导弹和苏30战斗机,尤其是S300防空导弹,不但可以击落美国无人机,即便是美国战斗机来了,恐怕也很难摆脱这种防空导弹的拦截。

Unlike Iraq, Iran has not experienced the depletion of the war and, with Russian backing behind it, its weapons and equipment are not a complete threat to the US. For example, Iran's S300 anti-aircraft missiles and Soviet 30s, especially the S300 anti-aircraft missiles, cannot only shoot down U.S. drones, but even if American fighters come, it may be difficult to escape the intercept of such anti-aircraft missiles.

伊朗军方除了采购俄制装备之外,他们还积极采购种花家的装备,种花家装备皮实好用,价格便宜,也成了伊朗军队的最爱。

In addition to buying Russian-made equipment, Iran's military has also been actively purchasing the equipment of flower growers, whose skins are good and cheap.

正是有了这些比较先进的武器装备,才让伊朗有了叫板美国的勇气,不过和武器装备比起来,伊朗的第三项优势才是独一无二的。

It is with these more sophisticated weapons and equipment that Iran has the courage to challenge the United States, but its third advantage is unique compared to its weaponry.

伊朗的局势和伊拉克不同,2003年美国之所以能推翻萨达姆政府,最大的利好就是伊拉克国内派系林立,某种程度上来说,美军是伊拉克国内反对派请进来的,而伊朗的情况则不同。

Iran's situation is different from that of iraq, where the biggest benefit of washington's overthrow of saddam's government in 2003 was the presence of factions in iraq, in part in the presence of the iraqi opposition, and in iran.

前段时间,美国曾试图在伊朗搞颜色革命,但是在伊朗精神领袖哈梅内伊的引导之下,伊朗民众又再度团结一心,这就是伊朗和伊拉克不同的地方,因为伊朗有宗教领袖,这样的国家人民向心力往往很强,即便有害群之马也掀不起大浪,而一个国家最怕的就是内部斗争,伊朗显然没有内部斗争。

Some time ago, the United States had tried to carry out a color revolution in Iran, but under the guidance of Iran's spiritual leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Iranian people were once again united, and this was the difference between Iran and Iraq, where religious leaders often had a strong centripetal force, and where even the black sheep could not lift the waves. What a country feared most was internal struggle, and there was clearly no internal struggle.

如果美军选择在伊朗团结一心的时候发起战争,即便是推翻了现任政府,也不过是占了一个火山口,随时可能被烧死,所以对于美国来说此时进攻伊朗很不理智。

If u. s.military chooses to wage war when iran is united, even if it overthrows the current government, it takes up a crater that could burn to death at any time, so it would be unwise for the u. s. to attack iran at this time.

三个优势是伊朗叫板美国的资本,对于美国来说,这三大阻碍也是他们不敢轻易动手的关键,随后局势的发展也只能是走一步看一步了。

The three advantages are iran's biding of american capital, and the three obstacles are key to america's inability to do so easily, and then the situation can only go one step at a time.


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